The true warrior might want to know what good it is to know that the probability of a rare event will be overestimated. Well … it may help you to resist buying a lottery ticket, since the odds of winning are even worse than what is commonly understood. They are infinitesimal: about thirteen million to one. But then you say, “I can’t ever win if I don’t have a ticket!” So this is the odds comparison: buy a ticket and be virtually certain that you won’t win; don’t buy a ticket and be guaranteed that you won’t win.
What are the odds of you dying in a car accident? Which is more likely, winning the lottery or dying in a car accident? Did you guess car accident? Well yes, that’s right. The odds of that are one hundred to one (or a one per cent chance). So this true warrior wants to know, do you have life insurance because you are aware of these odds?
Do you buy lottery tickets at 0.00000715% chance of winning, instead of life insurance? Many people do. Why? People don’t calculate the odds; they make decisions based on a whole host of other factors that have nothing to do with logical thinking. The true warrior knows this concept and understands that an offer needs not make logical sense at the extremes; it needs to appeal to our human, emotional biases. We buy lottery tickets because it is a trigger for pleasant dreams of rags to riches wealth. It is a social activity. We belong to a group and it satisfies a need for identification. We don’t want to be left out … etc., etc., etc..
Why discuss a rare event at all? Well, what is a rare event? Winning the lottery is a rare event but we will overestimate it’s probability of occurrence, which triggers our fear-of-loss response—buy the ticket or lose out on possible winnings. What does this all mean? It means that you will buy a lottery ticket because you can’t win if you don’t buy a ticket (fear of losing out because of failure to act). We have to work five times … twenty times … even a hundred times harder at trying to mitigate the fear of loss. So, is it even possible? That is why we discussed the importance of aligning with the perceptions of the mind. If the mind has a loss perception, our positional alignment needs to be preventing that loss. It cannot be a mindset that tells you that the chances of the loss are so small, you should ignore it.
The true warrior seeks an alignment of the mind, and alignments with the perceptions in the mind will result in victory.
You are warriors. If you do not learn to align yourself with the perceptions in the mind(s) of those around you, you will always be separate and alone. Understand and accept your need to conform and align with the perceptions of the mind to avoid an unpleasant outcome. So it has been written.