July 9th

The true warrior knows that what many of you take for granted as being related are often not at all. This is where huge mistakes are made in the world, because of an assumption of causality. The true warrior notes that the safest assumption is of zero causation, regardless of the degree of correlation. So what does the true warrior do when the outcome(s) of something is problematic? The answer is scientific and rigorous testing to identify actual causation, by going to the source to prevent re-occurrence(s). Here is an opportunity to see if it is necessary to go that deep, by engaging the tool of the Five Whys1 (asking “Why?” five times, and trying to find five answers, to uncover the root cause of a defect or a problem) to see if eliminating something else prevents correlating consequences from occurring at the same time. For example, the problem of the leaky boat. There is a high degree of correlation between the boat being in the water and the boat leaking. Remove the boat from the water and it will no longer leak in (although rain water would leak out). This will not have fixed the leak. The boat is leaking because there are one or more pathways through which water can enter (or exit). Fixing one leak does not necessarily mean that the boat no longer leaks.

The point of all this is that your observations do not mean that these things are, in fact, related in the fashion you assume them to be. So to be successful, quit jumping to conclusions, and looking for the quick fix and the easy way out!

You are warriors and by practising scepticism, you will succeed in avoiding the pitfalls that many fall into. That will help you to achieve your success—a success beyond your comprehension. So it has been written.

1. Five Whys – The technique was originally developed by Sakichi Toyoda and was used within the Toyota Motor Corporation during the evolution of its manufacturing methodologies. It is a critical component of problem-solving training, delivered as part of the induction into the Toyota Production System.